F1 Odds: Barcelona Grand Prix favourites as Lewis Hamilton shocks Antonelli

Kimi Antonelli, George Russell and Lewis Hamilton looking serious at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix — Photo: © IMAGO

Barcelona Grand Prix

F1 Odds: Barcelona Grand Prix favourites as Lewis Hamilton shocks Antonelli

Hamilton is right back in contention

Graham Shaw Consultant Editor

Digital sports specialist running global brands for 30 years

Sunday 14 June 2026 09:27

Lewis Hamilton is right back in contention to end his long F1 win drought at today's Barcelona-Catalunya Grand Prix (3pm local time, 2pm UK, 9am Eastern).

The 41-year-old Hamilton is looking like his old self in 2026 after a miserable first year at Ferrari, and on Saturday he once again rolled back the years.

The seven-time world champion had been a distant 25/1 shot to win on Sunday after Ferrari struggled in practice on Friday. But qualifying was a very different matter.

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Hamilton, who has not won an F1 race since the Belgian Grand Prix in July 2024, qualified in P2 - just 0.064 seconds behind pole sitter George Russell (Mercedes). He is now all the way in to 9/2 third favourite to top the podium on Sunday.

Italian prodigy Kimi Antonelli, who has won the last five F1 races, has work to do on Sunday after qualifying third behind Russell and Hamilton. He is 3/1 second favourite with team-mate Russell heading the market at 8/13.

Reigning world champion Lando Norris is a 16/1 shot for McLaren after qualifying in fourth, with Red Bull superstar Max Verstappen (22/1) next on the grid in P5. The other McLaren, driven by Oscar Piastri, qualified P7 and is a 25/1 chance.

It was another disastrous afternoon for Hamilton's Ferrari team-mate Charles Leclerc, just six days after he had been a late DNF at his home Monaco Grand Prix. This time the Monegasque star crashed out heavily in Q3 and will start from P10 on the grid.

Latest odds to win the 2026 Barcelona Grand Prix

The win odds after qualifying have changed in a big way:

Driver	Odds	Win Probability
George Russell	8/13	61.9%
Kimi Antonelli	3/1	25%
Lewis Hamilton	9/2	18.18%
Lando Norris	16/1	5.88%
Max Verstappen	22/1	4.35%
Oscar Piastri	25/1	3.85%
Charles Leclerc	66/1	1.49%

Starting grid with penalties applied

The grid for Sunday afternoon's race, with penalties applied, looks like this:

F1 Barcelona Grand Prix Qualifying Results
Position	Driver	Team
1	George Russell	Mercedes
2	Lewis Hamilton	Ferrari
3	Kimi Antonelli	Mercedes
4	Lando Norris	McLaren
5	Max Verstappen	Red Bull
6	Isack Hadjar	Red Bull
7	Oscar Piastri	McLaren
8	Liam Lawson	Racing Bulls
9	Nico Hulkenberg	Audi
10	Charles Leclerc	Ferrari
11	Arvid Lindblad	Racing Bulls
12	Gabriel Bortoleto	Audi
13	Franco Colapinto	Alpine
14	Pierre Gasly	Alpine
15	Oliver Bearman	Haas
16	Carlos Sainz	Williams
17	Esteban Ocon	Haas
18	Alex Albon	Williams
19	Sergio Perez	Cadillac
20	Valtteri Bottas	Cadillac
21	Lance Stroll	Aston Martin
22	Fernando Alonso	Aston Martin

LEWIS HAMILTON: Career record with every pole, win and title

Written by

Graham Shaw - Consultant Editor

Digital sports leader with 30 years of senior level experience running global brands. Built sportinglife.com to be a behemoth in the UK as well as being in charge of the Planet Sport network of sites including planetf1.com, football365.com, teamtalk.com and planetrugby.com. Then grew goal.com to be the world's biggest soccer website in 18 languages and 37 territories. Was GM of Portals for Perform Group (now DAZN) with overall responsibility for sportingnews.com, spox.de and voetbalzone.nl.

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F1 Lewis Hamilton George Russell Kimi Antonelli Barcelona-Catalunya Grand prix